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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 17, 2019 22:27:33 GMT -6
Correa just pushed that in-game BABIP even lower...
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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 17, 2019 22:28:29 GMT -6
not sure why Marisnick is not pinch running here as the tying run
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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 17, 2019 22:30:29 GMT -6
i'd have used Jake to steal 2B here and get him into scoring postition for Yuli
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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 17, 2019 22:31:02 GMT -6
with Jake on second, that base hit would have tied the game.
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Post by ɮօʀȶǟʐ on Apr 17, 2019 22:31:50 GMT -6
Now Corch Jr. will run into an out. Watch.
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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 17, 2019 22:32:05 GMT -6
maybe there is a good reason to pinch run for the go-ahead runner instead of the tying runner, but if so, I haven't heard it.
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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 17, 2019 22:32:47 GMT -6
in theory the double steal sounds good, but it's hard with a LHH like jOsh at the plate
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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 17, 2019 22:33:19 GMT -6
might be the first infield fly rule for the Astros this season.
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Post by paastrosfan on Apr 17, 2019 22:36:55 GMT -6
Robbie is hanging in there.
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Post by paastrosfan on Apr 17, 2019 22:37:48 GMT -6
At least there was a chance there and showed something.
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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 17, 2019 22:38:53 GMT -6
the Astros put some real pressure there on Treinin but not quite enough.
I question the use of the pinch runner there. Should have used Jake to run for Brantley to set up the RBI single. Of course that would only have tied the game, but the Astros would have had an advantage in extras considering the relative strength of the bullpens.
Phegley's arm isn't what it used to be, and all things considered, Jake would have had at least an 80% chance of success stealing second.
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Post by unionstation82 on Apr 17, 2019 22:39:29 GMT -6
i'd have used Jake to steal 2B here and get him into scoring postition for Yuli Agreed, either they should’ve sent Brantley or pinch ran for him. With all the talk of aggressiveness, the team seems content with station to station ball. |
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Post by unionstation82 on Apr 17, 2019 22:41:43 GMT -6
with Jake on second, that base hit would have tied the game. Brantley also could have scored unless Laureano fielded it. The problem was in not trying to take second base immediately. Correa could’ve advanced the runner to third after a steal, and Gurriel would’ve then had an easy RBI single. |
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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 17, 2019 22:43:32 GMT -6
In 2015-17, Phegley was quite hard to run against, but he is 31 now and in decline. There shouldn't be much hesitation to send the tying runner into scoring position against Phegley, esp as hard as hits were to come by in this game.
I don't think many fans would have criticized Hinch for trying the steal in that situation even if Phegley managed to throw the runner out.
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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 17, 2019 22:45:35 GMT -6
Laureano made a couple of big plays in the late innings today.
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Post by blcoach8 on Apr 17, 2019 22:48:20 GMT -6
Now Corch Jr. will run into an out. Watch.  |
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Post by blcoach8 on Apr 17, 2019 22:49:19 GMT -6
A's pitching handcuffed our hitters.
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Post by ɮօʀȶǟʐ on Apr 17, 2019 22:54:28 GMT -6
i'd have used Jake to steal 2B here and get him into scoring postition for Yuli Agreed, either they should’ve sent Brantley or pinch ran for him. With all the talk of aggressiveness, the team seems content with station to station ball. Except that Joke has a decidedly poor record of running the bases. |
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Post by unionstation82 on Apr 17, 2019 23:02:32 GMT -6
Agreed, either they should’ve sent Brantley or pinch ran for him. With all the talk of aggressiveness, the team seems content with station to station ball. Except that Joke has a decidedly poor record of running the bases. I don’t necessarily feel that Marisnick has that much of an edge over Brantley in terms of steals. |
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Post by blcoach8 on Apr 17, 2019 23:07:19 GMT -6
Agreed, either they should’ve sent Brantley or pinch ran for him. With all the talk of aggressiveness, the team seems content with station to station ball. Except that Joke has a decidedly poor record of running the bases. and you have a poor record of evaluating talent. |
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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 17, 2019 23:08:51 GMT -6
Combining last year's SB totals with this year's Jake has had 30 successful steals and 6 caught-stealing in his most recent (and relevant) attempts.
That's an 83% success rate, quite a bit higher than the 75% most sabermetrics guys would say is the cutoff point for deciding whether you benefit by sending the runner.
Combine that 83% with the fact that Phegley is now below-average in throwing runners out (case in point: Reddick's steal of 2B tonight), and Jake probably had nearly a 90% chance of success.
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Post by ɮօʀȶǟʐ on Apr 17, 2019 23:09:01 GMT -6
Except that Joke has a decidedly poor record of running the bases. and you have a poor record of evaluating talent. That really hurts, Corch. It hurts me right HERE. |
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Post by ɮօʀȶǟʐ on Apr 17, 2019 23:11:36 GMT -6
Combining last year's SB totals with this year's Jake has had 30 successful steals and 6 caught-stealing in his most recent (and relevant) attempts. That's an 83% success rate, quite a bit higher than the 75% most sabermetrics guys would say is the cutoff point for deciding whether you benefit by sending the runner. Combine that 83% with the fact that Phegley is now below-average in throwing runners out (case in point: Reddick's steal of 2B tonight), and Jake probably had nearly a 90% chance of success. Jake had 6 SB in 2018. You're looking at the RBI column. |
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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 17, 2019 23:13:49 GMT -6
Combining last year's SB totals with this year's Jake has had 30 successful steals and 6 caught-stealing in his most recent (and relevant) attempts. That's an 83% success rate, quite a bit higher than the 75% most sabermetrics guys would say is the cutoff point for deciding whether you benefit by sending the runner. Combine that 83% with the fact that Phegley is now below-average in throwing runners out (case in point: Reddick's steal of 2B tonight), and Jake probably had nearly a 90% chance of success. Jake had 6 SB in 2018. You're looking at the RBI column. You're right! Better clean my glasses. He had 6 SB and 2 CS. So his success rate was 75%, right at the cutoff line. Still, with a weak-armed catcher behind the plate, Jake probably has an 80% chance of success there. |
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Post by ɮօʀȶǟʐ on Apr 17, 2019 23:18:22 GMT -6
Jake had 6 SB in 2018. You're looking at the RBI column. You're right! Better clean my glasses. He had 6 SB and 2 CS. So his success rate was 75%, right at the cutoff line. Still, with a weak-armed catcher behind the plate, Jake probably has an 80% chance of success there. your post caused the closest thing Corch has had to an erection in many a year. |
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Post by m240 on Apr 18, 2019 5:16:25 GMT -6
it is a good move, Bregman is pressing right now. Bregman hit a grand slam last night. MLB.com has Altuve hitting 2nd and Bregman 3rd. You are correct on both counts. However so am I by Bregman's own words. If Altuve hits like Altuve is supposed to hit then I am of the opinion that Bregman should hit second and Altuve third. |
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Post by Saint on Apr 18, 2019 7:17:44 GMT -6
Not going to win them all. Offense had a bad night + Montas was on his game. A day off will be beneficial and then hopefully hammer Texas.
We need to see Altuve get back to making contact, and we need to see more aggression on the basepaths when we're not hitting HRs. Plus, I might be wrong on this but I feel like we're striking out way more than we should be.
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Post by astrosdoug on Apr 18, 2019 7:41:14 GMT -6
These are the K-rates for the 2019 Astros.  Jake has done an impressive job of cutting down on his strikeouts, while White is striking out much more compared to 2017-18. In general I like to see the team keep its K% under 18% (which was one of the keys to the championship season). They could stand to shave a few points off the current team rate and it's really up to Springer, White, Jake, and Chirinos to make that happen. |
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Post by sempersmom on Apr 18, 2019 8:40:15 GMT -6
I made the mistake of going to a different site that listed the wrong lineup. Didn't realize it until it was too late to change.
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Post by thomasj13 on Apr 18, 2019 8:47:03 GMT -6
I made the mistake of going to a different site that listed the wrong lineup. Didn't realize it until it was too late to change. It happens, no worries....now if someone else did it here, I would be: WTF!!!!! You cost us the game, snapped the 10 game winning streak...Bortaz, ban this MF!!!! |
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