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Post by Saint on May 27, 2018 22:49:07 GMT -6
JV vs. The Yankees Offense
Come out on fire!
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Post by astrosdoug on May 27, 2018 22:56:18 GMT -6
JV vs. The Yankees Offense Come out on fire! Astros have the #3 ranked offense in MLB by wRC+ at 110 and Yankees are #1 at 119. Astros are much better now than when they let the Yanks shut them out twice to start this month of May. Over the past 50 years of baseball, a home team that was trailing by 5 runs going into the bottom of the ninth has only won the game 0.72% of the time. This means that what we saw yesterday was statistically likely to happen once in the course of a 162-game season, but not twice. We just had to endure that one game... I still can't quite grasp what happened yesterday. |
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Post by Saint on May 27, 2018 22:59:37 GMT -6
It should just be a bad memory come September.
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Post by astrosdoug on May 27, 2018 23:12:32 GMT -6
Does this make the argument for getting Kelvin Herrera stronger?
0.96 ERA, 0.75 WHIP in over 18 innings of work. No blown saves and has appeared almost exclusively in the 9th. has held opponents scoreless in 18 of his 20 appearances.
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Post by unionstation82 on May 27, 2018 23:14:50 GMT -6
I’ve said this the past couple seasons, but I don’t trust this bullpen. Sadly, you can now add Peacock to the list. I don’t trust management’s assessment of relievers , namely Giles and Harris.
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Post by unionstation82 on May 27, 2018 23:15:40 GMT -6
It should just be a bad memory come September. They should keep it in mind when they’re deciding on acquiring a closer by the deadline. |
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Post by astrosdoug on May 27, 2018 23:19:54 GMT -6
The string of statistically remote things the Indians did in innings 9 to 14 boggles the mind. Half or more of the hits in the 9th inning came off of pretty good pitches. Almost any other combination of pitchers would likely have closed it out. Sipp included.
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Post by astrosdoug on May 27, 2018 23:20:32 GMT -6
Astros team ERA all the way up to 2.61 now.
Thanks bullpen!
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Post by blcoach8 on May 27, 2018 23:22:14 GMT -6
Does this make the argument for getting Kelvin Herrera stronger? 0.96 ERA, 0.75 WHIP in over 18 innings of work. No blown saves and has appeared almost exclusively in the 9th. has held opponents scoreless in 18 of his 20 appearances. Herrera would be a great addition.......maybe they would take Giles if we throw in a prospect or two |
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Post by astrosdoug on May 27, 2018 23:25:09 GMT -6
Over the last 14 days, only McCann, Marwin, Gurriel, and Correa are hitting below league average.
McCann is the most likely to improve, as he's not striking out too too much (just 23% of the time) and is putting the ball in play.
Correa and Marwin are just striking out too much and won't improve until they stop doing that.
Gurriel has hit .306 but with no power over the past 2 weeks. I'll take that, knowing that the ball will carry further for him as the weather heats up.
Getting a good 8 innings from JV today would be key to resting the bullpen. Run support should materialize, esp against German.
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Post by astrosdoug on May 27, 2018 23:26:19 GMT -6
I can't say I'd be opposed. There is that whole backlog of guys who would have to be protected in the Rule 5 draft who make obvious trade candidates. And KCR would be a good match for some of those guys.
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Post by unionstation82 on May 27, 2018 23:28:17 GMT -6
The string of statistically remote things the Indians did in innings 9 to 14 boggles the mind. Half or more of the hits in the 9th inning came off of pretty good pitches. Almost any other combination of pitchers would likely have closed it out. Sipp included. It’s called battling, something the ‘17 Astros were elite at doing. |
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Post by Saint on May 27, 2018 23:41:37 GMT -6
We need more from Gurriel. With no speed and no walks he needs to show more power.
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Post by astrosdoug on May 27, 2018 23:47:52 GMT -6
Other interesting things about Herrera:
His typical relief appearance is one inning in the 9th only. No inherited runners, just him closing out the game. He typically does this on 13.6 pitches.
In ten of his 20 relief appearances this year, Herrera has allowed neither a hit nor a walk, i.e. totally cleaning (no hit batsmen all year).
Only allowed 1 HR. He attacks the strike zone, throwing the ball in the zone 72% of the time. No pussyfooting around for Herrera.
Oh and here's a stat for ya -- 17 K's to go with *no walks* all season.
The only area of concern I can see with Herrera is that he does allow a lot of fly balls. Which, if they are pulled FB's by RHH, could be an issue with the Crawford Boxes.
As an AL Central pitcher, Herrera knows these Indians well so if we see them again in the postseason, Herrera would know how to attack them.
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Post by astrosdoug on May 27, 2018 23:54:50 GMT -6
Specifically because he is not primarily a strikeout pitcher, he tends to keep his pitch count low. That tendency would likely have avoided that whole fiasco with Giles throwing 17 pitches to the first hitter of the 9th.
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Post by astrosdoug on May 28, 2018 1:34:55 GMT -6
just one of the many unlikely things to happen last night was the HR by Greg Allen. This is a guy who had hit all of 16 HRs across 1862 minor league PAs. A kid with a measly .554 OPS at the major league level and only .754 in the minors. Basically, he just doesn't hit HRs. But he did last night. Amazing.
I looked again at the 9th inning and can't find any real mistakes made by Rondon.
Only the Ramirez double off Giles and the lineout to Gurriel were hit hard by the Indians. Encarnaction's single to left left the bat at under 70 mph. It was all a matter of balls hit to exactly the right places on the infield.
The Gonzalez single off of Harris had a hit probability of only 48%.
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marshall
Veteran
21st Century Luddite
Ephesians 6:12 For our struggle is not against flesh and blood...
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Post by marshall on May 28, 2018 2:47:48 GMT -6
While the results by the relievers wasn't good, the pitches were. You can't get a 17 pitch AB unless you're throwing strikes or at least close to strikes. That means unhitable in or near the zone. You don't want to walk a batter in that situation. Give the batter some credit. We've become accustomed to pitchers who can get misses in the zone, but those are elite. There are plenty of good pitchers who are not throwing elite stuff.
Both Giles and Rondon were making great pitches and Cleveland was simply hitting good pitches. Tip your cap and don't shoot the relief core.
ps almost all the hits were slap hits to the opposite field. I really wish we'd left Devinski and McHugh in. Sometime manages (even fill ins) get to switch happy when the pitcher is throwing effectively.
ps I posted this on the 5-27 thread, but it appears this is where this discussion is being held.
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Post by astrosdoug on May 28, 2018 7:12:14 GMT -6
At least Stanton, Gregorius, and Sanchez are slumping over the past 1-2 weeks.
German may well run into a bulldozer today.
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Post by astrosdoug on May 28, 2018 8:14:25 GMT -6
Davis gets a start  |
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Post by astrosdoug on May 28, 2018 8:17:24 GMT -6
Honestly, I'd prefer to see Davis in LF rather than Marwin, allowing Bregman to man 3B.
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Post by unionstation82 on May 28, 2018 8:18:01 GMT -6
I know Reddick hasn’t been killing it at the plate, but my patience with Marwin is wearing thin, and I’d rather have him out there in that spacious left field.
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Post by astrosdoug on May 28, 2018 8:25:47 GMT -6
No updates yet on Reddick's leg that I know of.
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Post by olpapa on May 28, 2018 9:11:12 GMT -6
Honestly, I'd prefer to see Davis in LF rather than Marwin, allowing Bregman to man 3B. May be a day off scheduled in advance for Bregman. I don’t like the idea of scheduled off days for position players. No way should a guy who is stinging the ball like Bregman is lately be sitting while Marwin is starting. |
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Post by Saint on May 28, 2018 9:24:12 GMT -6
This is just a horrible looking lineup. Ugh
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Post by astrosdoug on May 28, 2018 9:32:27 GMT -6
Marwin is approaching a season OPS of .600 -- the same general area that got Fisher and Jake demoted/DL'd, at least temporarily.
I think Marwin needs a DL stint to work on some things in the back fields, followed by a week or so of rehab games in Fresno. IN the meantime, Tyler White can hold the utility infielder role and DH vs. LHP. This change would probably increase Astros' total bases per game by 2 or thereabouts.
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Post by blcoach8 on May 28, 2018 9:53:45 GMT -6
I have to question why kemp is not in the lineup.Jake has no business starting. Also, I see Bregman getting a day off but why not have Davis at third base instead of moving Yuli over there.
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Post by unionstation82 on May 28, 2018 10:14:26 GMT -6
It’s interesting that Davis is at 1B while Gurriel returns to 3B.
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marshall
Veteran
21st Century Luddite
Ephesians 6:12 For our struggle is not against flesh and blood...
Posts: 4,358
Likes: 446
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Post by marshall on May 28, 2018 10:44:52 GMT -6
I thought the game started at 11:30. Now I see 12:05. But it's still very quiet on this board.
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Post by Saint on May 28, 2018 11:05:39 GMT -6
Just realized the game was on ESPN. I think that bodes well for us. I feel like this generation of Astros thrives with more national attention.
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Post by abregmanfan on May 28, 2018 11:08:14 GMT -6
I hope we set the tone early.
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