May Predictions

[marshall]

May 19, 2018 12:15:17 GMT -6 batman007 said:

May 17, 2018 6:11:14 GMT -6 talshill said:

May Record 9-7, 65 RS, 35 RA
YTD 29-17, 214 RS, 117 RA

5-1 vs Yankees L 0-4
5-2 vs Yankees L 0-4
5-3 vs Yankees L 5-6
5-4 @ Diamondbacks W 8-0
5-5 @ Diamondbacks L 3-4
5-6 @ Diamondbacks L 1-3
5-7 @ Athletics W 16-2
5-8 @ Athletics W 4-2
5-9 @ Athletics W 4-1
5-11 vs Rangers L 0-1
5-12 vs Rangers W 6-1
5-13 vs Rangers W 6-1
5-14 @ Angels L 1-2
5-15 @ Angels W 5-3
5-16 @ Angels W 2-0
5-18 vs Indians W 4-1
5-19 vs Indians
5-20 vs Indians
5-22 vs Giants
5-23 vs Giants
5-24 @ Indians
5-25 @ Indians
5-26 @ Indians
5-27 @ Indians
5-28 @ Yankees
5-29 @ Yankees
5-30 @ Yankees
5-31 vs Red Sox

Batman007: 11-17, 131 RS, 119 RA
Txheat10k 13-15. 125 RS 126 RA
OlPapa 14-14 126 RS 126 RA
Saint 15-13 155 RS 130 RA
talshill 16-12 136 RS 122 RA
InLuhnowWeTrust 16-12 139 RS 121 RA
astrosdoug 16-12 RS 142 RA 108
m240 16-12 RS 144 RS 112 RA
Marshall 17-11 140 RS 92 RA
blcoach8 17-11 RS 145 RA 98
Bortaz 18-10 148 RS 132 RA
Abregmanfan:18-10, 154 RS, 114 RA
Sempersmom 19-9 154 RS 125 RA (Corrected)
Jayfree5 19-9 160 RS 111 RA
KoolAde2 (15KT) 20-8 152 RS 124 RA
Thomasj13: 21I'm routing for Thomas to win-7, 163 RS, 117 RA (I am Really Loaded!!) Endangered

I'm routing for Thomas to win

[Deleted]

What is your major malfunction???

[thomasj13]

May 19, 2018 12:41:04 GMT -6 @txheat10k said:

What is your major malfunction???

Bitch better have my trophy....The remaining May schedule is brutal.

[marshall]

Results through games played 5/19

May 9-8 69 RS 40 RA
YTD 29-18 218 RS 122 RA

May
The Astros are scoring an average of 4.06 runs per game.
They are 5-1 when scoring more than 4 runs.
They are 3-1 when scoring exactly 4 runs.
They are 1-6 when scoring less than 4 runs per game.

YTD
The Astros are scoring an average of 4.64 runs per game.
They are 16-5 when scoring more than 4 runs.
They are 7-1 when scoring exactly 4 runs.
They are 6-12 when scoring less than 4 runs per game.

[talshill]

May Record 9-8, 69 RS, 40 RA
YTD 29-18, 218 RS, 122 RA

5-1 vs Yankees L 0-4
5-2 vs Yankees L 0-4
5-3 vs Yankees L 5-6
5-4 @ Diamondbacks W 8-0
5-5 @ Diamondbacks L 3-4
5-6 @ Diamondbacks L 1-3
5-7 @ Athletics W 16-2
5-8 @ Athletics W 4-2
5-9 @ Athletics W 4-1
5-11 vs Rangers L 0-1
5-12 vs Rangers W 6-1
5-13 vs Rangers W 6-1
5-14 @ Angels L 1-2
5-15 @ Angels W 5-3
5-16 @ Angels W 2-0
5-18 vs Indians W 4-1
5-19 vs Indians L 4-5
5-20 vs Indians
5-22 vs Giants
5-23 vs Giants
5-24 @ Indians
5-25 @ Indians
5-26 @ Indians
5-27 @ Indians
5-28 @ Yankees
5-29 @ Yankees
5-30 @ Yankees
5-31 vs Red Sox

Batman007: 11-17, 131 RS, 119 RA
Txheat10k 13-15. 125 RS 126 RA
OlPapa 14-14 126 RS 126 RA
Saint 15-13 155 RS 130 RA
talshill 16-12 136 RS 122 RA
InLuhnowWeTrust 16-12 139 RS 121 RA
astrosdoug 16-12 RS 142 RA 108
m240 16-12 RS 144 RS 112 RA
Marshall 17-11 140 RS 92 RA
blcoach8 17-11 RS 145 RA 98
Bortaz 18-10 148 RS 132 RA
Abregmanfan:18-10, 154 RS, 114 RA
Sempersmom 19-9 154 RS 125 RA (Corrected)
Jayfree5 19-9 160 RS 111 RA
KoolAde2 (15KT) 20-8 152 RS 124 RA Endangered
Thomasj13: 21-7, 163 RS, 117 RA (I am Really Loaded!!) Kaboom!!!

[marshall]

Results through games played 5/20

May 10-8 72 RS 41 RA
YTD 30-18 221 RS 123 RA

May
The Astros are scoring an average of 4.00 runs per game.
They are 5-1 when scoring more than 4 runs.
They are 3-1 when scoring exactly 4 runs.
They are 2-6 when scoring less than 4 runs per game.

YTD
The Astros are scoring an average of 4.60 runs per game.
They are 16-5 when scoring more than 4 runs.
They are 7-1 when scoring exactly 4 runs.
They are 7-12 when scoring less than 4 runs per game.

[batman007]

May 19, 2018 19:21:57 GMT -6 talshill said:

May Record 10-8, 72 RS, 41 RA
YTD 30-18, 221 RS, 123 RA

5-1 vs Yankees L 0-4
5-2 vs Yankees L 0-4
5-3 vs Yankees L 5-6
5-4 @ Diamondbacks W 8-0
5-5 @ Diamondbacks L 3-4
5-6 @ Diamondbacks L 1-3
5-7 @ Athletics W 16-2
5-8 @ Athletics W 4-2
5-9 @ Athletics W 4-1
5-11 vs Rangers L 0-1
5-12 vs Rangers W 6-1
5-13 vs Rangers W 6-1
5-14 @ Angels L 1-2
5-15 @ Angels W 5-3
5-16 @ Angels W 2-0
5-18 vs Indians W 4-1
5-19 vs Indians L 4-5
5-20 vs Indians W 3-1
5-22 vs Giants
5-23 vs Giants
5-24 @ Indians
5-25 @ Indians
5-26 @ Indians
5-27 @ Indians
5-28 @ Yankees
5-29 @ Yankees
5-30 @ Yankees
5-31 vs Red Sox

Batman007: 11-17, 131 RS, 119 RA
Txheat10k 13-15. 125 RS 126 RA
OlPapa 14-14 126 RS 126 RA
Saint 15-13 155 RS 130 RA
talshill 16-12 136 RS 122 RA
InLuhnowWeTrust 16-12 139 RS 121 RA
astrosdoug 16-12 RS 142 RA 108
m240 16-12 RS 144 RS 112 RA
Marshall 17-11 140 RS 92 RA
blcoach8 17-11 RS 145 RA 98
Bortaz 18-10 148 RS 132 RA
Abregmanfan:18-10, 154 RS, 114 RA
Sempersmom 19-9 154 RS 125 RA (Corrected)
Jayfree5 19-9 160 RS 111 RA
KoolAde2 (15KT) 20-8 152 RS 124 RA Endangered
Thomasj13: 21-7, 163 RS, 117 RA (I am Really Loaded!!) Kaboom!!!

[astrosdoug]

Looks like most of us, myself included, way overestimated RA for this month. Which is fine by me! Watching this pitching staff day in and day out is a treat.

[marshall]

May 21, 2018 6:16:06 GMT -6 astrosdoug said:

Looks like most of us, myself included, way overestimated RA for this month. Which is fine by me! Watching this pitching staff day in and day out is a treat.

I've got the low RA at 92 and I may be high.

[thomasj13]

May 21, 2018 6:31:48 GMT -6 marshall said:

May 21, 2018 6:16:06 GMT -6 astrosdoug said:

Looks like most of us, myself included, way overestimated RA for this month. Which is fine by me! Watching this pitching staff day in and day out is a treat.

I've got the low RA at 92 and I may be high.

I guess you did not stop sniffing glue this week.

[marshall]

Results through games played 5/20

May 11-8 83 RS 43 RA
YTD 31-18 232 RS 125 RA

May
The Astros are scoring an average of 4.37 runs per game.
They are 6-1 when scoring more than 4 runs.
They are 3-1 when scoring exactly 4 runs.
They are 2-6 when scoring less than 4 runs per game.

YTD
The Astros are scoring an average of 4.73 runs per game.
They are 17-5 when scoring more than 4 runs.
They are 7-1 when scoring exactly 4 runs.
They are 7-12 when scoring less than 4 runs per game.

[m240]

Our pitching is absurdly good.  It feels like we gave up some runs tonight and it was only two.  Raised Cole's era up a little, flirting with 2 runs per game.  

[talshill]

May Record 11-8, 83 RS, 43 RA
YTD 31-18, 232 RS, 125 RA

5-1 vs Yankees L 0-4
5-2 vs Yankees L 0-4
5-3 vs Yankees L 5-6
5-4 @ Diamondbacks W 8-0
5-5 @ Diamondbacks L 3-4
5-6 @ Diamondbacks L 1-3
5-7 @ Athletics W 16-2
5-8 @ Athletics W 4-2
5-9 @ Athletics W 4-1
5-11 vs Rangers L 0-1
5-12 vs Rangers W 6-1
5-13 vs Rangers W 6-1
5-14 @ Angels L 1-2
5-15 @ Angels W 5-3
5-16 @ Angels W 2-0
5-18 vs Indians W 4-1
5-19 vs Indians L 4-5
5-20 vs Indians W 3-1
5-22 vs Giants W 11-2
5-23 vs Giants
5-24 @ Indians
5-25 @ Indians
5-26 @ Indians
5-27 @ Indians
5-28 @ Yankees
5-29 @ Yankees
5-30 @ Yankees
5-31 vs Red Sox

Batman007: 11-17, 131 RS, 119 RA Endangered
Txheat10k 13-15. 125 RS 126 RA
OlPapa 14-14 126 RS 126 RA
Saint 15-13 155 RS 130 RA
talshill 16-12 136 RS 122 RA
InLuhnowWeTrust 16-12 139 RS 121 RA
astrosdoug 16-12 RS 142 RA 108
m240 16-12 RS 144 RS 112 RA
Marshall 17-11 140 RS 92 RA
blcoach8 17-11 RS 145 RA 98
Bortaz 18-10 148 RS 132 RA
Abregmanfan:18-10, 154 RS, 114 RA
Sempersmom 19-9 154 RS 125 RA (Corrected)
Jayfree5 19-9 160 RS 111 RA
KoolAde2 (15KT) 20-8 152 RS 124 RA Endangered
Thomasj13: 21-7, 163 RS, 117 RA (I am Really Loaded!!) Kaboom!!!

[koolade2]

I know they won't win out but it sure would be nice to see a couple of the lower win totals go before I am Kaboomed!!

[marshall]

May 22, 2018 21:35:50 GMT -6 m240 said:

Our pitching is absurdly good.  It feels like we gave up some runs tonight and it was only two.  Raised Cole's era up a little, flirting with 2 runs per game.  

It's an interesting statistical anomaly that Cole's ERA went up while the starting rotation ERA went down.

We are now 6 games behind our Pythagorean W-L.

[Deleted]

May 23, 2018 7:47:01 GMT -6 marshall said:

May 22, 2018 21:35:50 GMT -6 m240 said:

Our pitching is absurdly good.  It feels like we gave up some runs tonight and it was only two.  Raised Cole's era up a little, flirting with 2 runs per game.  

It's an interesting statistical anomaly that Cole's ERA went up while the starting rotation ERA went down.

We are now 6 games behind our Pythagorean W-L.

I know its been along time since I have had geometry Marshall.  But could you enlighten us on how our team's era is correlatable to C^{2 =} A² + B²  (Length of the long side of triangle)

[marshall]

May 23, 2018 8:00:55 GMT -6 @txheat10k said:

May 23, 2018 7:47:01 GMT -6 marshall said:

It's an interesting statistical anomaly that Cole's ERA went up while the starting rotation ERA went down.

We are now 6 games behind our Pythagorean W-L.

I know its been along time since I have had geometry Marshall.  But could you enlighten us on how our team's era is correlatable to C^{2 =} A² + B²  (Length of the long side of triangle)

It isn't. It's just a way of making a simple algebraic formula for expected W-L based on RS-RA sound more scientifically complex. But it's used by Baseball Reference.

www.baseball-reference.com/teams/HOU/2018.shtml

What is pythagorean winning percentage?

Pythagorean winning percentage is an estimate of a team's winning percentage given their runs scored and runs allowed. Developed by Bill James, it can tell you when teams were a bit lucky or unlucky. It is calculated by

(Runs Scored)^1.83
---------------------------------------------------------
(Runs Scored)^1.83 + (Runs Allowed)^1.83

The traditional formula uses an exponent of two, but this has proven to be a little more accurate.

[Deleted]

So, let me get his straight....

232^1.83  divided by (232^{1.83 +} 125^1.83)  = 

21,323 divided by (21323 + 6876)

21323 divided 28199 = .756

.756  X 49 = 37 wins (versus our 31)

Got it.  

[m240]

May 23, 2018 8:00:55 GMT -6 @txheat10k said:

May 23, 2018 7:47:01 GMT -6 marshall said:

It's an interesting statistical anomaly that Cole's ERA went up while the starting rotation ERA went down.

We are now 6 games behind our Pythagorean W-L.

I know its been along time since I have had geometry Marshall.  But could you enlighten us on how our team's era is correlatable to C^{2 =} A² + B²  (Length of the long side of triangle)

Well to offer this up for Marshall, you have to keep in the mind the balance of the right hypotenuse of the skew of the vertical and never forget that the angle of accent of the dangle is = to pi r sq x h of the wahine.  

[sempersmom]

Speak English.

[ɮօʀȶǟʐ]

Better yet, don't speak at all.

[marshall]

May 23, 2018 9:19:28 GMT -6 m240 said:

May 23, 2018 8:00:55 GMT -6 @txheat10k said:

I know its been along time since I have had geometry Marshall.  But could you enlighten us on how our team's era is correlatable to C^{2 =} A² + B²  (Length of the long side of triangle)

Well to offer this up for Marshall, you have to keep in the mind the balance of the right hypotenuse of the skew of the vertical and never forget that the angle of accent of the dangle is = to pi r sq x h of the wahine.  

Ah! A mathematical version of who's on first...mixed with a little gibberish...

[m240]

there is humor in the gibberish if you look for it.  

[Deleted]

May 23, 2018 8:13:51 GMT -6 marshall said:

May 23, 2018 8:00:55 GMT -6 @txheat10k said:

I know its been along time since I have had geometry Marshall.  But could you enlighten us on how our team's era is correlatable to C^{2 =} A² + B²  (Length of the long side of triangle)

It isn't. It's just a way of making a simple algebraic formula for expected W-L based on RS-RA sound more scientifically complex. But it's used by Baseball Reference.

Up there is stat usefulness with SSPI. (Scrotum Scratches per Inning)

[marshall]

Results through games played 5/23

May 12-8 87 RS 44 RA
YTD 32-18 236 RS 126 RA

May
The Astros are scoring an average of 4.35 runs per game.
They are 6-1 when scoring more than 4 runs.
They are 4-1 when scoring exactly 4 runs.
They are 2-6 when scoring less than 4 runs per game.

YTD
The Astros are scoring an average of 4.72 runs per game.
They are 17-5 when scoring more than 4 runs.
They are 8-1 when scoring exactly 4 runs.
They are 7-12 when scoring less than 4 runs per game.

[talshill]

May Record 12-8, 87 RS, 44 RA
YTD 32-18, 236 RS, 126 RA

5-1 vs Yankees L 0-4
5-2 vs Yankees L 0-4
5-3 vs Yankees L 5-6
5-4 @ Diamondbacks W 8-0
5-5 @ Diamondbacks L 3-4
5-6 @ Diamondbacks L 1-3
5-7 @ Athletics W 16-2
5-8 @ Athletics W 4-2
5-9 @ Athletics W 4-1
5-11 vs Rangers L 0-1
5-12 vs Rangers W 6-1
5-13 vs Rangers W 6-1
5-14 @ Angels L 1-2
5-15 @ Angels W 5-3
5-16 @ Angels W 2-0
5-18 vs Indians W 4-1
5-19 vs Indians L 4-5
5-20 vs Indians W 3-1
5-22 vs Giants W 11-2
5-23 vs Giants W 4-1
5-24 @ Indians
5-25 @ Indians
5-26 @ Indians
5-27 @ Indians
5-28 @ Yankees
5-29 @ Yankees
5-30 @ Yankees
5-31 vs Red Sox

Batman007: 11-17, 131 RS, 119 RA Kaboom!!!
Txheat10k 13-15. 125 RS 126 RA
OlPapa 14-14 126 RS 126 RA
Saint 15-13 155 RS 130 RA
talshill 16-12 136 RS 122 RA
InLuhnowWeTrust 16-12 139 RS 121 RA
astrosdoug 16-12 RS 142 RA 108
m240 16-12 RS 144 RS 112 RA
Marshall 17-11 140 RS 92 RA
blcoach8 17-11 RS 145 RA 98
Bortaz 18-10 148 RS 132 RA
Abregmanfan:18-10, 154 RS, 114 RA
Sempersmom 19-9 154 RS 125 RA (Corrected)
Jayfree5 19-9 160 RS 111 RA
KoolAde2 (15KT) 20-8 152 RS 124 RA Endangered
Thomasj13: 21-7, 163 RS, 117 RA (I am Really Loaded!!) Kaboom!!!

[ɮօʀȶǟʐ]

236 RS, 126 RA

That is simply amazing.

[astrosdoug]

Can the Astros finish the month of May giving up 60 runs or fewer???

[Deleted]

May 23, 2018 19:18:17 GMT -6 astrosdoug said:

Can the Astros finish the month of May giving up 60 runs or fewer???

Give up less than or equal 2 runs per game average or the next 8 games against 3 playoff bound teams.  I'd bet not.

Still it's been a pretty amazing run.

[m240]

May 23, 2018 11:31:05 GMT -6 ɮօʀȶǟʐ said:

Better yet, don't speak at all.

that will be the case after about noon today for the next two weeks.  Going fishing.