marshall
Veteran
21st Century Luddite
Ephesians 6:12 For our struggle is not against flesh and blood...
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Post by marshall on Feb 22, 2019 12:45:15 GMT -6
With the farm system that the Padres have and if they do sign Harper then with both of those big horses in the lineup and the crew already assembled they could have a winner for a long time into the future. They can afford it, it makes sound business sense for them, why not sign Harper and Keuchel. Yes. The Padres could become the Angels who have a player worth as much as both Machado and Harper combined. They were 80-82 Last season. Tep! That's the ticket. Put all your payroll into three or four players and watch those Championships roll in. |
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Post by thomasj13 on Feb 22, 2019 12:46:22 GMT -6
I’m seeing 2 years at 21 million total. Yup. I think both sides got a fair deal with that. Marwin beats the QO amount (if we had given him one) while going to a team where he should get considerable playing time. If he performs well, he'll still be in a good position in two years to get another solid 2-3 year deal. The Twins get a guy that can play almost anywhere for a short-term deal. I'm a little surprised they would haven't pushed for like a 3-year $30 million deal, but maybe Marwin didn't want 3 years with them. Wouldn't the QO been 18M...so how does $21M over two years >>>>>> $18M for one year. |
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Post by thomasj13 on Feb 22, 2019 12:47:07 GMT -6
With the farm system that the Padres have and if they do sign Harper then with both of those big horses in the lineup and the crew already assembled they could have a winner for a long time into the future. They can afford it, it makes sound business sense for them, why not sign Harper and Keuchel. Yes. The Padres could become the Angels who have a player worth as much as both Machado and Harper combined. They were 80-82 Last season. Tep! That's the ticket. Put all your payroll into three or four players and watch those Championships roll in. The difference is that Padres have the #1 farm system in the league...they are loaded with top prospects. |
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Post by Hunter McCormick on Feb 22, 2019 12:49:14 GMT -6
Didn't realize that Gurriel was near 35 yo. Sure looks a lot younger than that. It's the show hair. We don't expect a grown up would wear his hair like that.  |
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Post by Saint on Feb 22, 2019 13:39:34 GMT -6
Yup. I think both sides got a fair deal with that. Marwin beats the QO amount (if we had given him one) while going to a team where he should get considerable playing time. If he performs well, he'll still be in a good position in two years to get another solid 2-3 year deal. The Twins get a guy that can play almost anywhere for a short-term deal. I'm a little surprised they would haven't pushed for like a 3-year $30 million deal, but maybe Marwin didn't want 3 years with them. Wouldn't the QO been 18M...so how does $21M over two years >>>>>> $18M for one year. 21-18=3 $3 million extra guaranteed. |
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Post by ɮօʀȶǟʐ on Feb 22, 2019 14:23:59 GMT -6
I’m seeing 2 years at 21 million total. Bortaz is going to be so distraught......If there are any puppies in his vicinity, they better hide...Bortaz, when angered, is a puppy kicker... |
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Post by blcoach8 on Feb 22, 2019 14:59:25 GMT -6
I hope we don't pay for Luhnow not adding necessary pitching...........hard to get excited about Wade Miley.
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Post by Saint on Feb 22, 2019 15:18:56 GMT -6
I hope we don't pay for Luhnow not adding necessary pitching...........hard to get excited about Wade Miley. If Miley even only pitches the amount that he did last year even with another run added to his ERA he'd still be worth the little amount we're paying him. He's solid rotation depth at a very cheap price. The pitching should be absolutely fine or better than fine for 2019. It's next offseason when things get dicey. |
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Post by blcoach8 on Feb 22, 2019 15:23:13 GMT -6
I hope we don't pay for Luhnow not adding necessary pitching...........hard to get excited about Wade Miley. If Miley even only pitches the amount that he did last year even with another run added to his ERA he'd still be worth the little amount we're paying him. He's solid rotation depth at a very cheap price. The pitching should be absolutely fine or better than fine for 2019. It's next offseason when things get dicey. The pitching concerns me much more than the offense. |
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Post by astrosdoug on Feb 22, 2019 15:35:10 GMT -6
Here's a link to one of the early ST games of 2019... not Astros though
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Post by Saint on Feb 22, 2019 15:45:43 GMT -6
Kershaw having more health concerns already.
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Post by bearbryant on Feb 22, 2019 15:52:10 GMT -6
Sonny Gray's start scratched for elbow tightness
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marshall
Veteran
21st Century Luddite
Ephesians 6:12 For our struggle is not against flesh and blood...
Posts: 4,358
Likes: 446
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Post by marshall on Feb 22, 2019 16:43:50 GMT -6
I hope we don't pay for Luhnow not adding necessary pitching...........hard to get excited about Wade Miley. I'm excited about our pitching stars of tomorrow. We'll get McCullers back, but I suspect no more than an average pitcher in his first year off TJ. I really don't expect to get JV or Cole back simply because of the price they'll justifiably deserve.
But I'm fascinated by the possibility that Greinke does not have us on his do not trade list at a time the Diamondbacks will be in rebuilding mode. He might be a late season addition with some adjustments like we got with JV.
But having the prospects able to step up is the most likely path to future excellence.
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Post by thomasj13 on Feb 22, 2019 18:44:01 GMT -6
Wouldn't the QO been 18M...so how does $21M over two years >>>>>> $18M for one year. 21-18=3 $3 million extra guaranteed. Alief math. |
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talshill
Arbitration Eligible
Vini, vici, pavori.
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Post by talshill on Feb 22, 2019 19:49:23 GMT -6
Wouldn't the QO been 18M...so how does $21M over two years >>>>>> $18M for one year. 21-18=3 $3 million extra guaranteed. 2-1= 1 extra year |
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Post by astrosdoug on Feb 22, 2019 22:13:20 GMT -6
Manfred going on and on about how this year they are cracking down on unnecessary/unauthorized cameras in the outfield bleachers in an attempt to prevent sign stealing.
They're not coming after fans' cameras, but stadium cameras that aren't strictly for security.
Not sure if anyone has actually been using stadium cameras to steal signs, but Manfred thinks pitchers are so paranoid that it *might* be happening that they are asking catchers to repeat signs in an alternate format, thus slowing down the game.
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Post by astrosdoug on Feb 23, 2019 2:05:37 GMT -6
Just trying to get a handle on how much faster the 2019 Astros may be on the base paths in comparison to last year's squad.
Here are the 2018 sprint speeds of the players who stand to make the 2019 team as well as the 2018 players who have left. The second number is the percentage of 2018 stolen base attempts that were successful (some of these numbers mean little if there were only 1 or 2 attempts).
(x = no longer an Astro)
Straw 29.7 feet/sec, 100% success rate
Fisher 29.3, 100%
Marisnick 29.2, 75%
Altuve 28.2, 81%
Aledmys Diaz 28.0, 43%
Bregman 27.9, 71%
Correa 27.8, 100%
Reddick 27.7, 78%
Springer 27.7, 60%
Kemp 27.6, 75%
Yuli 27.6, 83%
League Average - 27.0 ft/sec
x-Gattis 26.6, 100%
x-Davis 26.4
x-Marwin 26.4, 40%
Tucker 26.4, 50%
Brantley 26.1, 80%
Stassi 25.7
White 25.7, 0%
Chirinos 25.3, 100%
x-Maldonado 24.1
x-McCann 22.7, 0%
Based on raw speed and last year's success rate, the 2019 Astros stand to have 10 players with a good shot at meeting the sabermetric threshold of 75% success rate on SB attempts. By contrast, the 2018 squad only had 8 prospective base stealers, and the best of them (Straw) was only on the big league team for a short time. Overall, Luhnow did a good job of weeding out some of last year's slower players and replacing them with faster ones.
I suspect Tucker will prove to be faster than his 2018 Statcast readings suggest. He has stolen 91 bases in the minors and only been caught 29 times, and at Fresno last year he was 20-for-24. He's young enough that he may well get faster over the next few years with the right training.
Of course a catcher like Chirinos would not be expected to steal many bases, but Brantley was 12-for-15 in his SB attempts last year in spite of not having a lot of raw speed. And Aledmys Diaz, who is a quick runner, for some reason got thrown out in 4 of his 7 attempts. A guy in the 28 ft/sec area really should be making more attempts to swipe bases in my opinion and maybe Brantley can share with Diaz some of the secrets for judging when and when not to run.
Overall, the 2019 team looks ready to steal at least 90 bases. That should put them in the top half of the league in that statistic, and would be a big improvement over last year's 71 SB. The ability to take extra bases could prove crucial in the postseason, whereas for the regular season it's just a nice ability to have. it probably doesn't move the needle much on the Astros' chances of winning the division.
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Post by astrosdoug on Feb 23, 2019 4:10:43 GMT -6
In the postseason, the Astros were 3-for-6 in stolen bases, whereas the champion BoSox were 7-for-10. I strongly suspect that to win it all in 2019, the Astros need to be in a position to be able to prudently attempt 10 or more SBs and have good chances to convert >75% of them.
There were certainly many reasons the Astros fell to the BoSox in the ALCS, but being a slow, lumbering team that made unnecessary outs on the base paths didn't help.
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Post by nathangarza29 on Feb 23, 2019 11:11:46 GMT -6
This is one of the reasons I think the Astros need Straw to bat better then Marisnick. His speed us unteachable.
And from the latest news the player that's on the Hot seat this year is Josh Reddick. Hos job will have to be won. He has to do better or he is as good as gone.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 23, 2019 11:27:22 GMT -6
This is one of the reasons I think the Astros need Straw to bat better then Marisnick. His speed us unteachable. And from the latest news the player that's on the Hot seat this year is Josh Reddick. Hos job will have to be won. He has to do better or he is as good as gone. If and when MLB does the ultimate stupid rule change around "designated ghost man on second" for X innings, speedster's stock will skyrocket in value. |
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Post by m240 on Feb 23, 2019 12:47:17 GMT -6
With the farm system that the Padres have and if they do sign Harper then with both of those big horses in the lineup and the crew already assembled they could have a winner for a long time into the future. They can afford it, it makes sound business sense for them, why not sign Harper and Keuchel. Yes. The Padres could become the Angels who have a player worth as much as both Machado and Harper combined. They were 80-82 Last season. Tep! That's the ticket. Put all your payroll into three or four players and watch those Championships roll in. Machado, Harper, and Keuchel would have a total annual package of +/- 80 million. With 10 of the top 100 farm hands that are destined to make minimum for at least 6 years and a current payroll of 87 million they have about as much in common with the Angels as tofu does to steak. I know you do not like big contracts but the Astros have Altuve at 29 million next year and when they sign Verlander they will have the same situation. So go figure. |
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marshall
Veteran
21st Century Luddite
Ephesians 6:12 For our struggle is not against flesh and blood...
Posts: 4,358
Likes: 446
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Post by marshall on Feb 23, 2019 13:43:49 GMT -6
Yes. The Padres could become the Angels who have a player worth as much as both Machado and Harper combined. They were 80-82 Last season. Tep! That's the ticket. Put all your payroll into three or four players and watch those Championships roll in. Machado, Harper, and Keuchel would have a total annual package of +/- 80 million. With 10 of the top 100 farm hands that are destined to make minimum for at least 6 years and a current payroll of 87 million they have about as much in common with the Angels as tofu does to steak. I know you do not like big contracts but the Astros have Altuve at 29 million next year and when they sign Verlander they will have the same situation. So go figure. Time will tell if that is a good move. My suspicion is that it won't be and your's is that it will be. But I could care less about SD and will remain loyal to the Astros unless they pull some political stunt like Caperknucklehead and that lineman whose name I have already forgotten. |
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Post by nathangarza29 on Feb 23, 2019 17:05:09 GMT -6
Mlb network televising the Astros nationals game at 7pm guys
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marshall
Veteran
21st Century Luddite
Ephesians 6:12 For our struggle is not against flesh and blood...
Posts: 4,358
Likes: 446
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Post by marshall on Feb 23, 2019 17:19:02 GMT -6
Mlb network televising the Astros nationals game at 7pm guys I show it starting at 5:35 CST. It's already up and "The event will begin shortly"
5:30 and it's on.
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Post by astrosdoug on Feb 23, 2019 17:28:49 GMT -6
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marshall
Veteran
21st Century Luddite
Ephesians 6:12 For our struggle is not against flesh and blood...
Posts: 4,358
Likes: 446
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Post by marshall on Feb 23, 2019 17:39:11 GMT -6
Jake RAKES!
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Post by astrosdoug on Feb 23, 2019 17:39:12 GMT -6
Jake the Rake HRs off Scherzer to start 2019!!!
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marshall
Veteran
21st Century Luddite
Ephesians 6:12 For our struggle is not against flesh and blood...
Posts: 4,358
Likes: 446
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Post by marshall on Feb 23, 2019 17:41:27 GMT -6
OK! Do we stay here or go to the GDT?
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Post by nathangarza29 on Feb 23, 2019 20:09:29 GMT -6
Diaz is showing great plate discipline
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Post by astrosdoug on Feb 23, 2019 20:28:19 GMT -6
The big boys should get to play in about 16 hours' time (split squad -- which apparently Hinch is not very happy about doing this early in ST).
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